Rapid Assumptions Test

Client: Big 4 Professional Services Firm

Client team was advising a global wine company and needed to urgently test their own assumptions about the likely impact of Australia-China tensions on wine exports and tariffs.

• Client provided list of 5 key assumptions
• Gatehouse activated its network in Australia and China including former cabinet-level contacts
• Gatehouse provided report within 48 hours re-shaping ‘base case’ scenario to reflect high risk of tariffs
• Follow-up briefing call arranged on request with two contributors

Outcome: Client’s advisory team changed its recommendations to key client. China imposed tariffs of over 100% within 6 months of report delivery.